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Russia's Potential End Games in Ukraine #48

As Russia starts the 2nd phase of its operations in UA, we have enough information to start analyzing what its end game may be. In this podcast, I list 5 facts and discuss 3 possible end games.
Published by Dr Jiulin Teng on 31 Mar 2022 · Updated on 31 Mar 2022
Keywords: drjlt-economicsrussiaukraine
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As Russia starts the 2nd phase of its operations in UA, we have enough information to start analyzing what its end game may be. In this podcast, I list 5 facts and discuss 3 possible end games:
1. Minima: Donbas independence + Crimea recognized + UA neutral, demilitarized + UA deradicalized
2. Mid: Above + Land bridge to Transnistria
3. Maxima: Above + Kharkov + Dnipro + UA can join EU + Poland may annex WUA
I suggest that Russia may take it slow but eventually reach No.3. There won't be a negotiated political solution, but there'll be a ceasefire.
I'll revisit this topic in 1 month if the conflict continues then (it most likely will).
You can find this podcast on YouTube, Rumble, and Odysee.

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